Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.039234 0.044501 0.050355 0.057368 0.065574 0.074912 0.086399
2024-10-13 0.029453 0.035980 0.043910 0.054353 0.067888 0.085040 0.108744
2024-10-20 0.024580 0.031574 0.040606 0.053318 0.071057 0.095408 0.132213
2024-10-27 0.021105 0.028168 0.037729 0.051905 0.072893 0.103653 0.153775
2024-11-03 0.019302 0.026655 0.037038 0.053183 0.078431 0.117796 0.186780
2024-11-10 0.017880 0.025438 0.036516 0.054490 0.084032 0.132806 0.224360
2024-11-17 0.016378 0.023897 0.035272 0.054415 0.087280 0.144365 0.258410
2024-11-24 0.014948 0.022291 0.033710 0.053557 0.088975 0.153381 0.289642
2024-12-01 0.013980 0.021296 0.032982 0.053951 0.092847 0.166945 0.333262
2024-12-08 0.013077 0.020307 0.032142 0.054010 0.096057 0.179739 0.378517
2024-12-15 0.012348 0.019530 0.031567 0.054443 0.100002 0.194685 0.432802
2024-12-22 0.011325 0.018166 0.029841 0.052526 0.098968 0.198865 0.461955
2024-12-29 0.011036 0.018092 0.030477 0.055383 0.108643 0.229689 0.573342
2025-01-05 0.009962 0.016557 0.028343 0.052571 0.105868 0.231456 0.606393
2025-01-12 0.009247 0.015603 0.027185 0.051582 0.106966 0.242907 0.672844
2025-01-19 0.008565 0.014648 0.025930 0.050224 0.106980 0.251630 0.734547
2025-01-26 0.008250 0.014343 0.025892 0.051452 0.113355 0.278835 0.871339
2025-02-02 0.007961 0.014063 0.025871 0.052708 0.120040 0.308792 1.034435
2025-02-09 0.007563 0.013536 0.025299 0.052637 0.123312 0.329697 1.174235
2025-02-16 0.007128 0.012903 0.024449 0.051812 0.124441 0.344382 1.296735
2025-02-23 0.006837 0.012536 0.024122 0.052190 0.128962 0.371369 1.492892
2025-03-02 0.006542 0.012134 0.023686 0.052247 0.132595 0.396562 1.698710
2025-03-09 0.006297 0.011819 0.023408 0.052663 0.137383 0.427453 1.959210